Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.44)
0.07 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 85.5% | 10.6% | 0.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
24.6%
1 - 0
21.1%
3 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Añorga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 9.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 24.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 69% | 38% |
| Defense | 77% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWL • Añorga: DLLLLWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Añorga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 50% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 97% | 3% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 76.6% | 23.4% |
Advice: Winner : Derio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 2.33 (league 1.44), Añorga = 0.07 (league 1.14)
| Añorga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 9.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 24.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.5% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 0.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1