Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Florida
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.46)
1.12 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.6%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portugalete | 0 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 80% | 80% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Portugalete: WWDWWWLWWW • Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 60% | 70% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 50% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portugalete | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 64.6% | 35.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Portugalete or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Portugalete = 2.31 (league 1.46), Aretxabaleta = 1.12 (league 1.14)
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portugalete | 0 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 17.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1