Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.46) 2.46 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 19.1% 45.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Derio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar III 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.3% 5.8% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.3% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEibar IIIDerio
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack55%100%
Defense18%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eibar III Derio
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%67%40%55%
Draws20%0%9%17%0%9%
Loses40%83%64%17%60%36%

Form: Eibar III: WLWLDLWLLLL • Derio: WLDLLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Eibar III Derio
HATHAT
GF total851310717
GF avg1.60.81.21.71.41.5
GA total1011212911
GA avg2.01.81.90.31.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEibar IIIDerio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%100%73%55%
1.545%45%45%27%
2.59%18%27%18%
3.59%18%9%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEibar IIIDerio
HATHAT
Clean sheets000415
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricEibar IIIDerio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEibar IIIDerio
Wins14
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-00-2
Biggest losses2-54-00-13-0
Goals For2443
Goals Against5413

Model comparison

MetricEibar IIIDerio
Form20%80%
Att35%65%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eibar III = 1.98 (league 1.46), Derio = 2.46 (league 1.14)

Derio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar III 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.3% 5.8% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.3% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 45.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1