Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:30 • Campo de FĆŗtbol Ibaiondo
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.45) 0.18 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 62.5% 12.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
58.6%
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 58.6% 10.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerioLeioa
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack82%55%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derio Leioa
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%50%50%50%
Draws17%17%17%0%33%17%
Loses17%50%33%50%17%33%

Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWD • Leioa: LWWLLDWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Derio Leioa
HATHAT
GF total1081813417
GF avg1.71.31.52.20.71.4
GA total210129211
GA avg0.31.71.01.50.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerioLeioa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%67%50%
1.542%25%25%17%
2.525%17%17%17%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerioLeioa
HATHAT
Clean sheets415246
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricDerioLeioa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricDerioLeioa
Wins42
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-27-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-31-0
Goals For4371
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricDerioLeioa
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h36%64%
Goals50%50%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Derio = 0.35 (league 1.45), Leioa = 0.18 (league 1.15)

Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 58.6% 10.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% Ā· Draw 62.5% Ā· Away win 12.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1