Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.44)
0.45 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 26.4% | 11.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Alavés III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 64% |
| Defense | 79% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 29% | 50% | 29% | 57% | 43% |
| Draws | 14% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 43% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWD • Deportivo Alavés III: WLLLDDLWWWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 57% | 64% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 14% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Deportivo Alavés III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Derio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 1.45 (league 1.44), Deportivo Alavés III = 0.45 (league 1.15)
| Deportivo Alavés III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 11.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1