Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio La Florida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.47) 0.47 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 39.9% 20.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.3%
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 28.3% 13.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortugaleteLeioa
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%29%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portugalete Leioa
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%71%79%43%43%43%
Draws0%29%14%14%29%21%
Loses14%0%7%43%29%36%

Form: Portugalete: WWDWWWLWWWWDWW • Leioa: LWWLLDWWDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Portugalete Leioa
HATHAT
GF total20163613417
GF avg2.92.32.61.90.61.2
GA total65119312
GA avg0.90.70.81.30.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortugaleteLeioa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%57%57%50%
1.564%21%21%14%
2.557%0%14%14%
3.521%0%7%7%
4.514%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortugaleteLeioa
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score101336

Penalties

MetricPortugaleteLeioa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPortugaleteLeioa
Wins42
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-57-10-1
Biggest losses0-1—0-31-0
Goals For6571
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricPortugaleteLeioa
Form65%35%
Att79%21%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Portugalete or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Superbet
Away5.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portugalete = 0.79 (league 1.47), Leioa = 0.47 (league 1.14)

Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 28.3% 13.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 20.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1