Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 19:30 • Campo José Luis Orbegozo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.46) 1.60 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 25.0% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad III 0 7.5% 12.0% 9.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack50%21%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad III Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%57%50%43%43%43%
Draws0%14%7%43%0%21%
Loses57%29%43%14%57%36%

Form: Real Sociedad III: LLWWLLWLWLWWWD • Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad III Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
GF total61218111021
GF avg0.91.71.31.61.41.5
GA total971661117
GA avg1.31.01.10.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%64%79%
1.536%29%43%36%
2.521%7%21%7%
3.50%7%21%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
Wins35
Draws01
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-02-4
Biggest losses1-42-10-22-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricReal Sociedad IIIAretxabaleta
Form71%29%
Att70%30%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Real Sociedad III or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad III = 0.99 (league 1.46), Aretxabaleta = 1.60 (league 1.14)

Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad III 0 7.5% 12.0% 9.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 51.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1