Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 • Campo de Fútbol Ibarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.46) 0.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 18.1% 8.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Santurtzi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aretxabaleta 0 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAretxabaletaSanturtzi
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack20%47%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aretxabaleta Santurtzi
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%50%14%33%
Draws43%0%20%25%29%27%
Loses14%63%40%25%57%40%

Form: Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLWL • Santurtzi: DWLLDDLWLDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Aretxabaleta Santurtzi
HATHAT
GF total11102110515
GF avg1.61.31.41.30.71.0
GA total6131971320
GA avg0.91.61.30.91.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAretxabaletaSanturtzi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%73%73%
1.540%40%27%33%
2.520%7%0%20%
3.520%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAretxabaletaSanturtzi
HATHAT
Clean sheets303404
Failed to score246134

Penalties

MetricAretxabaletaSanturtzi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAretxabaletaSanturtzi
Wins51
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-34-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAretxabaletaSanturtzi
Form25%75%
Att30%70%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santurtzi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aretxabaleta = 2.09 (league 1.46), Santurtzi = 0.56 (league 1.13)

Santurtzi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aretxabaleta 0 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 8.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1