Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Olaranbe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.46) 2.02 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 18.7% 71.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.0%
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 3
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurrerá Vitoria 0 7.8% 15.8% 16.0% 10.7% 5.4% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.3% 8.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurrerá Vitoria Portugalete
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%75%71%73%
Draws29%25%27%0%29%13%
Loses29%38%33%25%0%13%

Form: Aurrerá Vitoria: WWLWWLDDWLWLDDL • Portugalete: WWDWWWLWWWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Aurrerá Vitoria Portugalete
HATHAT
GF total8816201636
GF avg1.11.01.12.52.32.4
GA total711187512
GA avg1.01.41.20.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%87%60%
1.533%27%60%20%
2.513%27%53%0%
3.50%7%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score336202

Penalties

MetricAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
Wins24
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-00-5
Biggest losses0-33-00-1
Goals For3265
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricAurrerá VitoriaPortugalete
Form33%67%
Att25%75%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Winner : Portugalete

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurrerá Vitoria = 0.53 (league 1.46), Portugalete = 2.02 (league 1.14)

Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurrerá Vitoria 0 7.8% 15.8% 16.0% 10.7% 5.4% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.3% 8.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 71.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1