Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:30 • Estadio Udal Kiroldegia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 24.2% 36.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zamudio 0 4.9% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.1% 8.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZamudioAretxabaleta
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack27%27%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zamudio Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%0%19%38%38%38%
Draws29%22%25%50%0%25%
Loses29%78%56%13%63%38%

Form: Zamudio: DWLWLDLLLLLWDDLL • Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Zamudio Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
GF total10515131023
GF avg1.40.60.91.61.31.4
GA total9162581321
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZamudioAretxabaleta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%63%81%
1.519%56%44%44%
2.56%19%19%6%
3.50%0%19%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZamudioAretxabaleta
HATHAT
Clean sheets303303
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricZamudioAretxabaleta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricZamudioAretxabaleta
Wins15
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-02-4
Biggest losses0-33-10-22-0
Goals For3144
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricZamudioAretxabaleta
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zamudio = 1.54 (league 1.46), Aretxabaleta = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zamudio 0 4.9% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.1% 8.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 36.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1