Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 10:15 • Estadio San Jorge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.47) 0.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 46.8% 32.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.5%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santurtzi 0 37.5% 21.5% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanturtziLeioa
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack54%69%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santurtzi Leioa
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins50%11%32%56%50%53%
Draws30%44%37%11%20%16%
Loses20%44%32%33%30%32%

Form: Santurtzi: DWLLDDLWLDWLLWWDDWD • Leioa: LWWLLDWWDWWLLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Santurtzi Leioa
HATHAT
GF total1282018826
GF avg1.20.91.12.00.81.4
GA total8162412517
GA avg0.81.81.31.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanturtziLeioa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%74%63%58%
1.526%32%32%16%
2.50%16%21%11%
3.50%5%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanturtziLeioa
HATHAT
Clean sheets505358
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricSanturtziLeioa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSanturtziLeioa
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-27-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-31-0
Goals For2273
Goals Against3441

Model comparison

MetricSanturtziLeioa
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Dafabet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away3.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santurtzi = 0.41 (league 1.47), Leioa = 0.57 (league 1.12)

Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santurtzi 0 37.5% 21.5% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 46.8% · Away win 32.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1