Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.48) 1.96 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 21.9% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar III 0 4.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEibar IIIAretxabaleta
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack18%50%
Defense77%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eibar III Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins22%18%20%50%30%40%
Draws33%18%25%40%10%25%
Loses44%64%55%10%60%35%

Form: Eibar III: WLWLDLWLLLLDLLDLWDDL • Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLWLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Eibar III Aretxabaleta
HATHAT
GF total10818211132
GF avg1.10.70.92.11.11.6
GA total181533121628
GA avg2.01.41.71.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEibar IIIAretxabaleta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%95%65%85%
1.530%30%45%45%
2.55%15%20%10%
3.55%15%20%0%
4.50%10%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEibar IIIAretxabaleta
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score3710257

Penalties

MetricEibar IIIAretxabaleta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEibar IIIAretxabaleta
Wins15
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-02-4
Biggest losses0-54-00-22-0
Goals For2464
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricEibar IIIAretxabaleta
Form38%62%
Att27%73%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals20%80%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aretxabaleta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eibar III = 1.19 (league 1.48), Aretxabaleta = 1.96 (league 1.12)

Aretxabaleta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar III 0 4.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 53.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1