Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:30 • Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.48) 0.77 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 29.7% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lagun Onak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 13.5% 10.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerioLagun Onak
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack32%41%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derio Lagun Onak
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins50%40%45%73%44%60%
Draws10%20%15%9%0%5%
Loses40%40%40%18%56%35%

Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLW • Lagun Onak: LWWWLLLWWWLLWLWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Derio Lagun Onak
HATHAT
GF total141529251035
GF avg1.41.51.52.31.11.8
GA total8182661218
GA avg0.81.81.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerioLagun Onak
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%75%50%
1.545%30%45%25%
2.515%20%30%15%
3.55%5%20%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerioLagun Onak
HATHAT
Clean sheets5168210
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricDerioLagun Onak
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricDerioLagun Onak
Wins45
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-11-4
Biggest losses2-35-22-33-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricDerioLagun Onak
Form32%68%
Att44%56%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lagun Onak

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derio = 1.23 (league 1.48), Lagun Onak = 0.77 (league 1.14)

Lagun Onak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 13.5% 10.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 23.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1