Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 • Campo de Fútbol Ibarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.47) 0.95 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 34.2% 39.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aretxabaleta 0 19.0% 18.0% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAretxabaletaLeioa
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack100%82%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aretxabaleta Leioa
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%27%38%60%55%57%
Draws40%9%24%10%18%14%
Loses10%64%38%30%27%29%

Form: Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLWLDLWDWL • Leioa: LWWLLDWWDWWLLDWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Aretxabaleta Leioa
HATHAT
GF total211334201030
GF avg2.11.21.62.00.91.4
GA total12203213619
GA avg1.21.81.51.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAretxabaletaLeioa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%86%67%62%
1.548%48%38%14%
2.519%14%19%10%
3.519%5%5%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAretxabaletaLeioa
HATHAT
Clean sheets303358
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricAretxabaletaLeioa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAretxabaletaLeioa
Wins52
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-47-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-31-0
Goals For6473
Goals Against3441

Model comparison

MetricAretxabaletaLeioa
Form37%63%
Att55%45%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h67%33%
Goals58%42%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leioa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aretxabaleta = 0.71 (league 1.47), Leioa = 0.95 (league 1.14)

Leioa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aretxabaleta 0 19.0% 18.0% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1