Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.50)
1.06 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 30.0% | 35.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Sociedad III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 12.2% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 24% |
| Defense | 76% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 45% | 45% | 42% | 50% | 45% |
| Draws | 9% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Loses | 45% | 36% | 41% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
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Real Sociedad IIILLWWLLWLWLWWWDWWLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 18 | 27 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Real Sociedad III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 68% | 68% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 27% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 14% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-2 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Real Sociedad III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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