Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 • Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.12 (league 1.47) 2.99 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 6.3% 84.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.9%
0 - 3
19.8%
0 - 4
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pasaia KE 0 4.5% 13.3% 19.9% 19.8% 14.8% 8.8%
1 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPasaia KEPortugalete
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack20%45%
Defense60%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pasaia KE Portugalete
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins0%55%26%83%82%83%
Draws33%9%22%0%18%9%
Loses67%36%52%17%0%9%

Form: Pasaia KE: WLWDWDWLLLLWDLLLLLLDDLW • Portugalete: WWDWWWLWWWWDWWLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Pasaia KE Portugalete
HATHAT
GF total41115292251
GF avg0.31.00.72.42.02.2
GA total209299716
GA avg1.70.81.30.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePasaia KEPortugalete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%70%91%57%
1.59%30%65%13%
2.54%17%39%0%
3.50%9%13%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPasaia KEPortugalete
HATHAT
Clean sheets2575510
Failed to score8311202

Penalties

MetricPasaia KEPortugalete
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPasaia KEPortugalete
Wins14
Draws21
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-36-00-5
Biggest losses0-43-10-1—
Goals For1365
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricPasaia KEPortugalete
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h40%60%
Goals25%75%
Total24.2%75.8%

Advice: Winner : Portugalete

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.60 @ 10Bet
Draw4.05 @ Marathonbet
Away1.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pasaia KE = 0.12 (league 1.47), Portugalete = 2.99 (league 1.14)

Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pasaia KE 0 4.5% 13.3% 19.9% 19.8% 14.8% 8.8%
1 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 84.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1