Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Tabira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.51) 0.51 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 31.1% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aurrerá Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 18.2% 9.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack47%53%
Defense68%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durango Aurrerá Vitoria
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins45%25%35%55%42%48%
Draws36%42%39%18%17%17%
Loses18%33%26%27%42%35%
DurangoDDDWDDDLLWWDWWWLDLDWLWL
Aurrerá VitoriaWWLWWLDDWLWLDDLLWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Durango Aurrerá Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total131023181129
GF avg1.20.81.01.60.91.3
GA total71219111829
GA avg0.61.00.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%61%65%61%
1.522%22%35%30%
2.59%0%17%26%
3.54%0%4%9%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets549369
Failed to score358358

Penalties

MetricDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-34-0
Goals For4252
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricDurangoAurrerá Vitoria
Form37%63%
Att47%53%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total54.7%45.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away4.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 1xBet
No1.78 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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