Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • Campo de FĆŗtbol Ibaiondo
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.48) 0.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 16.0% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 7.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerioZamudio
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack77%54%
Defense69%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derio Zamudio
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%42%46%58%0%29%
Draws8%25%17%17%17%17%
Loses42%33%38%25%83%54%

Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWD • Zamudio: DWLWLDLLLLLWDDLLWWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Derio Zamudio
HATHAT
GF total17203720727
GF avg1.41.71.51.70.61.1
GA total101929122739
GA avg0.81.61.21.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerioZamudio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%71%75%71%
1.546%25%29%54%
2.521%17%8%25%
3.58%4%0%8%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerioZamudio
HATHAT
Clean sheets527707
Failed to score325156

Penalties

MetricDerioZamudio
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricDerioZamudio
Wins42
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-0—
Biggest losses2-35-20-35-0
Goals For4431
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricDerioZamudio
Form63%38%
Att59%41%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total67.0%33.2%

Advice: Winner : Derio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away4.49 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.88 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Derio = 2.18 (league 1.48), Zamudio = 0.42 (league 1.14)

Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 7.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% Ā· Draw 16.0% Ā· Away win 5.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1