Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibarra
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.48)
1.96 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.0% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
3 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aretxabaleta | 0 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 23% | 40% | 54% | 42% | 48% |
| Draws | 33% | 8% | 20% | 8% | 25% | 16% |
| Loses | 8% | 69% | 40% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
Form: Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWDLDLLLWLDLWDWLWLWL • Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 15 | 42 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 27 | 42 | 11 | 19 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aretxabaleta | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 88% | 80% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | 48% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 16% | 20% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 8% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aretxabaleta | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Derio and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aretxabaleta = 2.49 (league 1.48), Derio = 1.96 (league 1.13)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aretxabaleta | 0 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 29.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1