Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 16:00 • Campo de FĆŗtbol Ibaiondo
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 0.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.9% 30.6% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 16.8% 9.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerioDurango
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack92%77%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derio Durango
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%46%50%46%23%35%
Draws8%23%15%31%38%35%
Loses38%31%35%23%38%31%

Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWDWW • Durango: DDDWDDDLLWWDWWWLDLDWLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Derio Durango
HATHAT
GF total192241181129
GF avg1.51.71.61.40.81.1
GA total11203191524
GA avg0.81.51.20.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerioDurango
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%73%69%62%
1.550%23%23%27%
2.519%15%12%4%
3.58%4%8%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerioDurango
HATHAT
Clean sheets5276410
Failed to score325358

Penalties

MetricDerioDurango
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricDerioDurango
Wins43
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses2-35-21-23-1
Goals For4442
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricDerioDurango
Form68%32%
Att55%45%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Derio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Derio = 1.22 (league 1.48), Durango = 0.57 (league 1.12)

Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derio 0 16.8% 9.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% Ā· Draw 30.6% Ā· Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1