Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 10:30 • Estadio La Florida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.70 (league 1.48) 0.37 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.6% 5.0% 1.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.4%
4 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortugaleteZamudio
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack100%89%
Defense78%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portugalete Zamudio
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins85%69%77%54%0%27%
Draws0%31%15%23%15%19%
Loses15%0%8%23%85%54%

Form: Portugalete: WWDWWWLWWWWDWWLWWWWWWWWDWD • Zamudio: DWLWLDLLLLLWDDLLWWLWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Portugalete Zamudio
HATHAT
GF total33235622830
GF avg2.51.82.21.70.61.2
GA total9817142943
GA avg0.70.60.71.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortugaleteZamudio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%54%77%73%
1.562%12%31%58%
2.538%0%8%23%
3.515%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortugaleteZamudio
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612707
Failed to score213156

Penalties

MetricPortugaleteZamudio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPortugaleteZamudio
Wins82
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-53-0—
Biggest losses0-1—0-35-0
Goals For6531
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricPortugaleteZamudio
Form73%27%
Att56%44%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total76.3%23.8%

Advice: Double chance : Portugalete or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Unibet
Draw5.56 @ Pinnacle
Away16.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Portugalete = 3.70 (league 1.48), Zamudio = 0.37 (league 1.12)

Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.6% Ā· Draw 5.0% Ā· Away win 1.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1