Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 11:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.48)
1.24 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 25.2% | 30.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Añorga | 0 | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Añorga | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 23% | 92% |
| Defense | 23% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Añorga | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 7% | 30% | 57% | 46% | 52% |
| Draws | 23% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 15% |
| Loses | 23% | 93% | 59% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
Form: Añorga: DLLLLWLDLDLLLWLWWLWLWWLLLWL • Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Añorga | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 38 | 49 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Añorga | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 78% | 81% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 44% | 52% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 30% | 22% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Añorga | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Añorga | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Añorga | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 7-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Añorga | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 27.6% | 72.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Añorga = 1.52 (league 1.48), Derio = 1.24 (league 1.10)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Añorga | 0 | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 30.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1