Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 15:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.51)
0.85 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 26.6% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Aurrerá Vitoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 16% |
| Defense | 68% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 40% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Draws | 13% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
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Aurrerá VitoriaWWLWWLDDWLWLDDLLWLWWWLWWWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 22 | 47 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 70% | 67% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 17% | 17% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Aurrerá Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ BetVictor
Away4.34 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano
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League standings
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