Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio La Florida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.53) 0.53 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.1% 19.4% 9.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Zarautz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 8.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 8.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.0% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortugaleteZarautz
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack55%9%
Defense64%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 21 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portugalete Zarautz
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Portugalete: WWD • Zarautz: WLD

League goals

Metric Portugalete Zarautz
HATHAT
GF total336101
GF avg3.01.52.00.50.00.3
GA total224011
GA avg2.01.01.30.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortugaleteZarautz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%33%
1.567%33%0%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortugaleteZarautz
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricPortugaleteZarautz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPortugaleteZarautz
Wins21
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-21-0
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For3210
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricPortugaleteZarautz
Form64%36%
Att86%14%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Winner : Portugalete

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portugalete = 1.96 (league 1.53), Zarautz = 0.53 (league 1.14)

Zarautz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 8.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.3% 8.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 16.0% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1