Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 13:15 •
Beirut Municipal Stadium
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.39)
0.05 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 63.1% | 3.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
61.8%
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
5.8%
| Al Mabarrah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 61.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 9% |
| Defense | 100% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
35%
FT probability
2.5+
25%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
32%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Al Ahed: WWW • Al Mabarrah: DDD
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 81.0% | 19.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Al Ahed and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahed = 0.43 (league 1.39), Al Mabarrah = 0.05 (league 1.22)
| Al Mabarrah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 61.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 63.1% · Away win 3.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1