Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Peralada
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.40)
0.89 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Can Vidalet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peralada | 0 | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Peralada carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 105 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Peralada -40.4, Can Vidalet -23.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Peralada
vs
Can Vidalet
Elo gapPeralada +105
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2911.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2911.8
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1491 | 1420.8 |
| Form Elo | 1469.7 | 1400.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.7 | 1453.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1486.9 | 1444.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1530.5 | 1404.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -40.4 | -23.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Peralada last-5 Elo change: -40.4; Can Vidalet last-5 Elo change: -23.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 13% | 26% |
| Draws | 40% | 31% | 35% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 27% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 60% | 48% |
PeraladaLWDWDLWWDDLDWLWDLDWWDDDLWDLLLLW
Can VidaletWDLDLLDWLLWLDWLDDDWLWLLLWLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 17 | 32 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peralada | Can Vidalet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 65% | 61% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 26% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 10% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peralada | Can Vidalet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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