Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Camilo Cano
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.24)
0.16 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5% | 21.6% | 3.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Utiel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Nucía | 0 | 16.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 8% |
| Attack | 40% | 10% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: La Nucía: DLWW • Utiel: LLLD
League goals
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Nucía | Utiel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 25% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Nucía | Utiel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : La Nucía or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Nucía = 1.62 (league 1.24), Utiel = 0.16 (league 0.94)
| Utiel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Nucía | 0 | 16.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 3.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1