Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.22)
1.05 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 35.0% | 56.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.8%
0 - 0
27.5%
0 - 2
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarreal III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utiel | 0 | 27.5% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 92% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Utiel: LLLDW • Villarreal III: WDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utiel | Villarreal III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 60% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utiel | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Villarreal III and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utiel = 0.25 (league 1.22), Villarreal III = 1.05 (league 0.96)
| Villarreal III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utiel | 0 | 27.5% | 28.8% | 15.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 56.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1