Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Camilo Cano
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.20)
1.28 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 28.9% | 65.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.1%
0 - 0
22.7%
0 - 2
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarreal III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Nucía | 0 | 22.7% | 29.1% | 18.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 65% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 60% | 56% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: La Nucía: DLWWLDDDD • Villarreal III: WDWWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Nucía | Villarreal III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 78% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 44% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Nucía | Villarreal III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 11% | 89% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 42.6% | 57.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : La Nucía or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Nucía = 0.20 (league 1.20), Villarreal III = 1.28 (league 1.01)
| Villarreal III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Nucía | 0 | 22.7% | 29.1% | 18.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 65.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1