Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Camilo Cano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.20) 2.21 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.3% 15.4% 76.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.0%
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 3
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Castellonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Nucía 0 7.4% 16.3% 18.0% 13.2% 7.3% 3.2%
1 2.9% 6.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa NucíaCastellonense
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack60%100%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Nucía Castellonense
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%67%80%73%
Draws40%67%55%33%0%18%
Loses40%17%27%0%20%9%

Form: La Nucía: DLWWLDDDDLD • Castellonense: DLDWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric La Nucía Castellonense
HATHAT
GF total461013821
GF avg0.81.00.92.21.61.9
GA total7613639
GA avg1.41.01.21.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa NucíaCastellonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%91%55%
1.59%36%64%18%
2.50%9%27%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa NucíaCastellonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLa NucíaCastellonense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLa NucíaCastellonense
Wins20
Draws41
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-12-0
Goals For1243
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricLa NucíaCastellonense
Form21%79%
Att35%65%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Winner : Castellonense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): La Nucía = 0.40 (league 1.20), Castellonense = 2.21 (league 1.01)

Castellonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Nucía 0 7.4% 16.3% 18.0% 13.2% 7.3% 3.2%
1 2.9% 6.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.3% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 76.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1