Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Navalcarbón
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.7% | 27.9% | 23.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Las Rozas | 0 | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 17% |
| Attack | 36% | 9% |
| Defense | 82% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Las Rozas: WW • Móstoles: DL
League goals
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Las Rozas | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Las Rozas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Las Rozas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Las Rozas = 1.36 (league 1.47), Móstoles = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Las Rozas | 0 | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 23.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1