Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.48) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 14.1% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Trival Valderas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalapagarTrival Valderas
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack27%36%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galapagar Trival Valderas
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Galapagar: WD • Trival Valderas: WL

League goals

Metric Galapagar Trival Valderas
HATHAT
GF total213314
GF avg2.01.01.53.01.02.0
GA total112022
GA avg1.01.01.00.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalapagarTrival Valderas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalapagarTrival Valderas
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGalapagarTrival Valderas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGalapagarTrival Valderas
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-0—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricGalapagarTrival Valderas
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trival Valderas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 2.71 (league 1.48), Trival Valderas = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Trival Valderas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1