Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.48)
2.53 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 18.5% | 40.4% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
5.9%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 22% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Móstoles: DLW • Racing Madrid: LDD
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Racing Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 2.30 (league 1.48), Racing Madrid = 2.53 (league 1.19)
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 40.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1