Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.49)
3.33 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5% | 15.2% | 51.7% |
best score tips
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 3
5.9%
2 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Rozas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWD • Las Rozas: WWL
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | Las Rozas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Las Rozas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 2.01 (league 1.49), Las Rozas = 3.33 (league 1.20)
| Las Rozas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 51.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1