Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.47) 2.52 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 16.7% 28.7%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 2
5.6%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Carabanchel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Madrid 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing MadridCarabanchel
Played44
Form17%33%
Attack33%39%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 27 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Madrid Carabanchel
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%0%25%
Draws100%0%50%0%50%25%
Loses0%100%50%50%50%50%

Form: Racing Madrid: LDDL • Carabanchel: LWDL

League goals

Metric Racing Madrid Carabanchel
HATHAT
GF total336347
GF avg1.51.51.51.52.01.8
GA total358167
GA avg1.52.52.00.53.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing MadridCarabanchel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%75%75%
1.550%75%50%50%
2.50%25%50%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing MadridCarabanchel
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRacing MadridCarabanchel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing MadridCarabanchel
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses—3-20-13-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricRacing MadridCarabanchel
Form33%67%
Att46%54%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Carabanchel and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Madrid = 3.06 (league 1.47), Carabanchel = 2.52 (league 1.19)

Carabanchel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Madrid 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2%
5 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1