Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:30 • Miniestadio Cerro del Espino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.47) 1.01 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 12.8% 9.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
8.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
AD Parla
0 1 2 3 4 5
A Madrid III 0 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricA Madrid IIIAD Parla
Played44
Form100%42%
Attack83%25%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric A Madrid III AD Parla
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: A Madrid III: WWWW • AD Parla: LDDW

League goals

Metric A Madrid III AD Parla
HATHAT
GF total6410303
GF avg3.02.02.51.50.00.8
GA total314235
GA avg1.50.51.01.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineA Madrid IIIAD Parla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%75%
1.575%25%25%25%
2.575%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricA Madrid IIIAD Parla
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricA Madrid IIIAD Parla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricA Madrid IIIAD Parla
Wins40
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-1—
Biggest losses———3-0
Goals For3320
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricA Madrid IIIAD Parla
Form71%29%
Att77%23%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Winner : A Madrid III

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): A Madrid III = 3.06 (league 1.47), AD Parla = 1.01 (league 1.19)

AD Parla
0 1 2 3 4 5
A Madrid III 0 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1