Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.49)
2.08 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 17.7% | 72.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 3
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SS Reyes II | 0 | 7.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 17% | 58% |
| Attack | 18% | 47% |
| Defense | 71% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: SS Reyes II: LLDD • Móstoles: DLWW
League goals
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SS Reyes II | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SS Reyes II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.3% | 67.8% |
Advice: Winner : Móstoles
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SS Reyes II = 0.50 (league 1.49), Móstoles = 2.08 (league 1.20)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SS Reyes II | 0 | 7.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 72.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1