Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Valle de las Cañas
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.48)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 36.3% | 36.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Trival Valderas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 21.9% | 18.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 25% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDW • Trival Valderas: WLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Pozuelo Alarcón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pozuelo Alarcón = 0.68 (league 1.48), Trival Valderas = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Trival Valderas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 21.9% | 18.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 36.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1