Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 09:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.49)
2.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 19.3% | 49.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDW • Carabanchel: LWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Carabanchel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | — | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.74 (league 1.49), Carabanchel = 2.41 (league 1.20)
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 49.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1