Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Galapagar
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.49)
1.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.2% | 19.8% | 22.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Pozuelo Alarcón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Galapagar: WDWDDL • Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Galapagar or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 2.28 (league 1.49), Pozuelo Alarcón = 1.41 (league 1.20)
| Pozuelo Alarcón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 22.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1