Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Valle de las Cañas
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.49)
0.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 50.0% | 22.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.6%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Villanueva Pardillo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 41.6% | 17.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 30% | 25% |
| Defense | 70% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
Form: Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDWWLD • Villanueva Pardillo: WWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-7 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Villanueva Pardillo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Pozuelo Alarcón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pozuelo Alarcón = 0.47 (league 1.49), Villanueva Pardillo = 0.41 (league 1.20)
| Villanueva Pardillo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 41.6% | 17.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 50.0% · Away win 22.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1