Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Instalación Deportiva Butarque
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.49)
0.77 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5% | 21.0% | 14.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leganés II | 0 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 80% | 55% |
| Defense | 90% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Leganés II: DDWWDWW • A Madrid III: WWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leganés II | A Madrid III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 29% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 57% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-7 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leganés II | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Leganés II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leganés II = 1.93 (league 1.49), A Madrid III = 0.77 (league 1.20)
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leganés II | 0 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 14.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1