Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.48)
0.17 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 50.3% | 9.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
45.3%
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Galapagar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 45.3% | 7.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.0% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDL • Galapagar: WDWDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | Galapagar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Galapagar and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 0.62 (league 1.48), Galapagar = 0.17 (league 1.21)
| Galapagar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 45.3% | 7.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.0% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 50.3% · Away win 9.1%
vtt 2 , vtd1