Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Campo 2 Alcorcón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47) 1.43 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 25.3% 38.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcón II 0 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack10%25%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcón II Racing Madrid
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws67%25%43%50%0%29%
Loses33%75%57%50%100%71%

Form: Alcorcón II: DDLLLDL • Racing Madrid: LDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Alcorcón II Racing Madrid
HATHAT
GF total303437
GF avg1.00.00.41.01.01.0
GA total5497613
GA avg1.71.01.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%86%71%100%
1.50%29%29%57%
2.50%14%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
Wins00
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-32-01-33-2
Goals For1022
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricAlcorcón IIRacing Madrid
Form50%50%
Att29%71%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.3%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcón II = 1.36 (league 1.47), Racing Madrid = 1.43 (league 1.19)

Racing Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcón II 0 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 38.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1