Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.48)
0.07 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.3% | 43.8% | 2.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.5%
1 - 0
33.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Alcorcón II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 41.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 17% |
| Defense | 83% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 80% | 50% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDW • Alcorcón II: DDLLLDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 50% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 0% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Carabanchel or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 0.81 (league 1.48), Alcorcón II = 0.07 (league 1.20)
| Alcorcón II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 41.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 43.8% · Away win 2.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1