Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 10:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.48)
0.20 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 38.0% | 7.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
30.1%
2 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AD Parla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 31.7% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 8% |
| Defense | 85% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 40% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWL • AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | AD Parla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 50% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 10% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Móstoles or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 0.95 (league 1.48), AD Parla = 0.20 (league 1.21)
| AD Parla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 31.7% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 7.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1