Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.48) 2.56 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 18.6% 43.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
A Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.8%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalapagarA Madrid III
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack40%90%
Defense50%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galapagar A Madrid III
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%0%30%60%60%60%
Draws40%60%50%20%20%20%
Loses0%40%20%20%20%20%

Form: Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWD • A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Galapagar A Madrid III
HATHAT
GF total1011181119
GF avg2.00.21.11.62.21.9
GA total73105813
GA avg1.40.61.01.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalapagarA Madrid III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%80%
1.550%20%70%30%
2.50%0%40%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalapagarA Madrid III
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score044202

Penalties

MetricGalapagarA Madrid III
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGalapagarA Madrid III
Wins14
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-11-3
Biggest losses—1-00-14-3
Goals For2133
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricGalapagarA Madrid III
Form38%62%
Att31%69%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.3%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or A Madrid III

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 2.17 (league 1.48), A Madrid III = 2.56 (league 1.20)

A Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.8%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 43.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1