Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Los Prados
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.48)
1.39 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 26.7% | 43.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 21% | 36% |
| Defense | 50% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
Form: AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDWL • Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Parla | Carabanchel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 64% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 45% | 36% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 18% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Parla | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Carabanchel
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AD Parla = 1.08 (league 1.48), Carabanchel = 1.39 (league 1.21)
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 43.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1