Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.47)
0.73 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 22.4% | 14.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leganés II | 0 | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 71% | 64% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 43% | 46% | 86% | 50% | 69% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 38% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
Form: Leganés II: DDWWDWWDWWLDL • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leganés II | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 46% | 85% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 23% | 46% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 38% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-7 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leganés II | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Leganés II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leganés II = 1.80 (league 1.47), Móstoles = 0.73 (league 1.17)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leganés II | 0 | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 14.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1