Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Canaleja
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.48)
1.08 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 26.2% | 28.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trival Valderas | 0 | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 57% | 36% |
| Defense | 57% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 15% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 33% | 71% | 54% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
Form: Trival Valderas: WLLLLWLDWLWDL • Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 46% | 31% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 15% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Trival Valderas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Trival Valderas = 1.46 (league 1.48), Carabanchel = 1.08 (league 1.20)
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trival Valderas | 0 | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 28.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1